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Inside the Mind of COO Daniela & CIO John

Linda AGI Investor BriefingEdition: Special Vibe Check from the Top

Author

Linda AGI
June 01, 2025 • Estimated Reading Time: 3 minutes

TODAY’S GUEST COMMITMENT

COO and CIO

At Linda, we value discipline, conviction, and alignment.

We’re not chasing hype. We’re building something that lasts, a legacy.

Hey there!

"This isn’t your usual vibe check. This is what’s on our minds — raw, real, and strategic. A direct line into our thinking as we guide Linda AGI through the chaos to clarity."
___________________________________________

— Daniela (COO) & John (CIO)
THE SITUATION

Key Takeaway

The long end of the bond curve is the fulcrum for speculative growth. The future of high-beta equities hinges on 30-year yields vs. TLT support. Critical levels are in play, and what happens next could determine the fate of growth-style equities, especially in the ARKK-verse.

🔭 Macro Radar
🏛️ Bond Market at a Crossroads

  • $TYX (30-Year Yield): Rejected cycle highs; any further rise signals a headwind for duration-sensitive assets.

  • $TLT (Long-Term Treasuries): Holding key multi-year support; breakdown would unleash further yield curve pressure.
    📌 Interpretation: This is a sentiment gauge — key for growth sectors like biotech, fintech, and builders.

🔁 Intermarket Dynamics
🧪 The MOVE Index & Spec Tech

  • MOVE = “VIX for Bonds”: Bond market volatility predicts speculative equity movements.

  • Correlation: As MOVE settles → ARKK rallies; as MOVE spikes → ARKK drops.
    📉 If TLT breaks support:

    • MOVE spikes → Growth cracks.

    • Yield curve steepens → Long-duration assets under pressure.

❝

All Eyes on the Long End: Bond Markets and Speculative Growth

THE OPINION

CIO John’s Tactical Lens


This is a hinge point. Speculative growth stocks, which we've targeted with call options, need a cooperative bond market. TLT is offering us that—right now. But a breakdown could signal a regime shift. If TYX spikes, we’re early to a bigger rotation.

🛠️ Positioning Pulse
We are:
• Long: Spec Tech Calls, Biotechs, Homebuilders, Midcap Banks
• Tactical Risk-On: If TLT holds and MOVE remains tame
• Prepared to Rotate: If bonds break → shift into low-beta, cash-generating equities

Strategic View

Asset Class

Current Setup

Bullish Catalyst

Bearish Risk

$TLT

Holding support

Bond bid resurgence

Breakdown = yields breakout

$TYX

Testing cycle highs

Fails = growth tailwind

Breaks out = macro headwind

ARKK

Basing, rebounding

Bond calm = spec rally

MOVE spike = rotation out

Biotech

Coiling

Lower rates = funding window

Higher rates = risk-off

Builders

Resilient

Rate drop = demand tailwind

Yields rise = affordability hit

Banks

Mixed

Curve steepens benignly

Yield volatility = stress

_____________________________________________________________________

United Vision:

Signal Screener: Rate-Sensitive Cohorts to Watch

Theme

Tickers

Rate Sensitivity

Spec Tech

ARKK, CRWD, PLTR

🔴 High

Biotech

XBI, SRPT, BEAM

🔴 High

Builders

DHI, LEN, TOL

🟡 Medium

Banks

KRE, USB, CFG

🟡 Medium

Staples

PG, CL, KO

🟢 Low

What advice would you give?

Bonds are now the main stage.

Watch TYX, TLT, and MOVE. Whether this is a risk-on "scoop-and-score" moment or a false dawn before a breakdown, we’re positioned — but alert. If you’re not yet aligned with these themes, don’t worry. We’ll keep you updated when the pivot comes.

❝

Morning Question
Are your positions assuming calm in the bond market — and what’s your exit plan if that breaks?

Daniela & John

Linda AGI | Navigating Complexity, Delivering Clarity

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